Economy · Escape from Subsistence
GDP per Capita
Eighteen hundred years stuck near $1,100 per person, then a breakout: 14× since 1820.
- $1,100 in year 1, still only $1,500 by 1820
- +36% in 1,800 yrs → 14× since 1820
- The Malthusian trap, broken
- Constant 2021 international $
For most of recorded history, growth didn’t make people richer; it just made more people. Average output per person sat near $1,100 (constant 2021 international dollars) from the Roman era to the Middle Ages, and had crawled to only $1,500 by 1820: a 36% gain in eighteen centuries. This was the Malthusian trap: any surplus was absorbed by population. The Industrial Revolution broke it. Since 1820 average world income has risen fourteen-fold to over $21,000 per person, the single largest change in ordinary human living standards ever measured. The flat handle of this hockey stick is the point: nearly everything we call modern prosperity happened in just the last two centuries.
| Year | Value | Note | Projected |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1,100 USD | Subsistence baseline | |
| 1000 | 1,100 USD | A millennium later: unchanged | |
| 1500 | 1,300 USD | ||
| 1600 | 1,400 USD | ||
| 1700 | 1,400 USD | ||
| 1820 | 1,500 USD | Malthusian trap breaks | |
| 1850 | 1,800 USD | ||
| 1870 | 2,100 USD | ||
| 1900 | 3,100 USD | ||
| 1920 | 3,400 USD | ||
| 1940 | 4,700 USD | ||
| 1950 | 4,600 USD | ||
| 1960 | 6,000 USD | ||
| 1970 | 8,200 USD | ||
| 1980 | 9,900 USD | ||
| 1990 | 11,275 USD | ||
| 2000 | 12,781 USD | ||
| 2010 | 16,051 USD | ||
| 2015 | 17,871 USD | ||
| 2019 | 19,551 USD | ||
| 2020 | 18,812 USD | COVID dip | |
| 2021 | 19,876 USD | ||
| 2024 | 21,393 USD | ||
| 2025 | 21,914 USD |