Economy · Escape from Subsistence

GDP per Capita

Eighteen hundred years stuck near $1,100 per person, then a breakout: 14× since 1820.

For most of recorded history, growth didn’t make people richer; it just made more people. Average output per person sat near $1,100 (constant 2021 international dollars) from the Roman era to the Middle Ages, and had crawled to only $1,500 by 1820: a 36% gain in eighteen centuries. This was the Malthusian trap: any surplus was absorbed by population. The Industrial Revolution broke it. Since 1820 average world income has risen fourteen-fold to over $21,000 per person, the single largest change in ordinary human living standards ever measured. The flat handle of this hockey stick is the point: nearly everything we call modern prosperity happened in just the last two centuries.

Source: Maddison Project / Our World in Data

Download the data: gdp_per_capita.csv · gdp_per_capita.json

GDP per Capita: every plotted point, in USD
YearValueNoteProjected
11,100 USDSubsistence baseline
10001,100 USDA millennium later: unchanged
15001,300 USD
16001,400 USD
17001,400 USD
18201,500 USDMalthusian trap breaks
18501,800 USD
18702,100 USD
19003,100 USD
19203,400 USD
19404,700 USD
19504,600 USD
19606,000 USD
19708,200 USD
19809,900 USD
199011,275 USD
200012,781 USD
201016,051 USD
201517,871 USD
201919,551 USD
202018,812 USDCOVID dip
202119,876 USD
202421,393 USD
202521,914 USD

All curves · The chart is drawn in your browser and needs JavaScript. Every number it plots is in the table above.