Computing · Transistor Count

Moore’s Law

Fifty-five years of doubling, and the lead has changed hands twice.

Intel’s 4004 carried 2,300 transistors in 1971, six years after Gordon Moore first described the trend. Nvidia’s Rubin carries 146 million times as many in 2026, and the doubling time has barely varied: two years to 2000, two years since, 2.3 years across 2020–2026. What has changed is who was setting it. Intel CPUs hold every point from the 4004 through the multi-core era. Then frequency scaling hit power limits and the frontier of integration passed to massively parallel silicon: AMD’s EPYC takes 2017, and Nvidia’s AI accelerators every point after. Blackwell packs 208 billion transistors on TSMC’s custom 4 nm-class 4NP process; Rubin puts 336 billion on a reported 3 nm-class node Nvidia has not named.

These are representative leading-edge parts, not strictly the single highest-count chip shipped in each year; some specialty processors carried more, but the curve follows the mainstream frontier. The two earliest points no longer match the table they came from: Wikipedia now gives the 4004 2,250 and the 8080 6,000, where this curve plots 2,300 and 4,500. The 8080’s 4,500 is Intel’s own datasheet count, and the table cites nothing for either revision, so both older figures stand until a first-party source displaces them.

Source: Wikipedia: transistor-count list; Intel datasheet for the 8080

Download the data: moores_law.csv · moores_law.json

Moore’s Law: every plotted point, in transistors
YearValueNoteProjected
19712,300Intel 4004
19744,500Intel 8080
197829,000Intel 8086
1982134,000Intel 286
1985275,000Intel 386
19891,200,000Intel 486
19933,100,000Pentium
19977,500,000Pentium II
200042,000,000Pentium 4
2006291,000,000Core 2 Duo
20101,170,000,000
20142,600,000,000
201719,200,000,000AMD EPYC
202054,200,000,000Nvidia A100
2024208,000,000,000Nvidia Blackwell B200
2026336,000,000,000Nvidia Rubin

All curves · The chart is drawn in your browser and needs JavaScript. Every number it plots is in the table above.