{
  "meta": {
    "key": "ai_metr",
    "title": "AI Autonomy Horizon (METR)",
    "unit": "minutes",
    "category": "AI",
    "source": "METR Horizon benchmark results (v1.1 data file)",
    "sourceUrl": "https://metr.org/assets/benchmark_results_1_1.yaml",
    "verified": "2026-09-06",
    "url": "https://exponentialtracker.com/curve/ai_metr",
    "csv": "https://exponentialtracker.com/data/ai_metr.csv",
    "json": "https://exponentialtracker.com/data/ai_metr.json",
    "retrievedFrom": "Compiled by Exponential Tracker and re-derived from the source named above. Rebuilt on every deploy, so re-fetch rather than trusting a saved copy to be current.",
    "rights": "The underlying data belongs to METR Horizon benchmark results (v1.1 data file). This compilation may be reused with attribution to Exponential Tracker. No licence is claimed or implied over the source data.",
    "citation": "Exponential Tracker, \"AI Autonomy Horizon (METR)\", exponentialtracker.com/curve/ai_metr, data verified 2026-09-06. Underlying source: METR Horizon benchmark results (v1.1 data file)."
  },
  "data": [
    {
      "year": 2019.12,
      "value": 0.05,
      "label": "GPT-2 (v1.0)"
    },
    {
      "year": 2020.41,
      "value": 0.14,
      "label": "davinci-002 (v1.0)"
    },
    {
      "year": 2022.2,
      "value": 0.6,
      "label": "GPT-3.5 Turbo Instruct (v1.0)"
    },
    {
      "year": 2023.2,
      "value": 3.99,
      "label": "GPT-4"
    },
    {
      "year": 2023.85,
      "value": 4.04,
      "label": "GPT-4 Turbo (1106)"
    },
    {
      "year": 2024.37,
      "value": 6.99,
      "label": "GPT-4o"
    },
    {
      "year": 2024.47,
      "value": 11.4,
      "label": "Claude 3.5 Sonnet"
    },
    {
      "year": 2024.7,
      "value": 20.33,
      "label": "o1-preview"
    },
    {
      "year": 2024.81,
      "value": 20.52,
      "label": "Claude 3.5 Sonnet (Oct)"
    },
    {
      "year": 2024.93,
      "value": 38.83,
      "label": "o1"
    },
    {
      "year": 2025.15,
      "value": 60.39,
      "label": "Claude 3.7 Sonnet"
    },
    {
      "year": 2025.29,
      "value": 119.73,
      "label": "o3"
    },
    {
      "year": 2025.6,
      "value": 203.01,
      "label": "GPT-5"
    },
    {
      "year": 2025.88,
      "value": 224.33,
      "label": "Gemini 3 Pro"
    },
    {
      "year": 2025.9,
      "value": 292.99,
      "label": "Claude Opus 4.5"
    },
    {
      "year": 2025.95,
      "value": 352.25,
      "label": "GPT-5.2"
    },
    {
      "year": 2026.1,
      "value": 718.81,
      "label": "Claude Opus 4.6 (12 hrs)"
    },
    {
      "year": 2026.27,
      "value": 1044.78,
      "label": "Claude Mythos: 17.4 hrs, past METR ceiling"
    }
  ]
}
