Computing · Compute Affordability
Cost per GFLOPS
The invisible curve behind simulation, graphics, science, and AI.
- $1T+ → ~1¢ per GFLOPS
- Halving: 20mo → 45mo since 2015
- Driven by GPUs; newest points are FP32
- Not like-for-like: precision varies
The cost of arithmetic has collapsed so far that entire categories of research became software problems. From the room-sized ENIAC to commodity graphics cards, the price of a billion floating-point operations fell from over a trillion dollars to about a cent. GPUs accelerated the curve by turning parallel workloads into mass-market performance, and the AI boom has since made low-precision throughput the metric that matters.
One caveat across eighty years: these points are not perfectly like-for-like. The oldest machines are measured in fixed-point or double-precision arithmetic and the newest in single precision, apart from a half-precision build in 2017, so read this as an order-of-magnitude cost curve rather than a single benchmark held constant. The slope has also flattened: the price of a gigaflop halved about every 20 months from ENIAC through 2011, but has taken about 45 months per halving over the past decade. Note which way the caveat cuts — the newest cards advertise far larger half- and 8-bit matrix figures than the single-precision ones plotted here, and both ends of the past decade are single precision, so precision does not explain a curve that is still slowing.
| Year | Value | Note | Projected |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1945 | $1,265,000,000,000/GFLOPS | ENIAC | |
| 1961 | $18,672,000,000/GFLOPS | IBM 7030 Stretch | |
| 1984 | $18,750,000/GFLOPS | Cray X-MP/48 | |
| 1997 | $30,000/GFLOPS | Beowulf cluster | |
| 2000 | $640/GFLOPS | KLAT2 | |
| 2003 | $83.68/GFLOPS | KASY0 | |
| 2007 | $47.85/GFLOPS | Microwulf | |
| 2011 | $1.8/GFLOPS | HPU4Science | |
| 2013 | $0.2168/GFLOPS | PlayStation 4 | |
| 2015 | $0.0785/GFLOPS | ||
| 2017 | $0.0624/GFLOPS | Ryzen 7 + Vega | |
| 2020 | $0.0316/GFLOPS | Ryzen + RTX 3080 | |
| 2022 | $0.0194/GFLOPS | RTX 4090 | |
| 2025 | $0.0123/GFLOPS | RX 9070 XT |